A new opinion poll by Global InfoAnalytics indicates a closely contested race in the upcoming Kpandai Constituency by-election, with the New Patriotic Party (NPP) candidate, Mathew Nyindam, holding a narrow lead over the National Democratic Congress (NDC) candidate, Daniel Nsala Wakpal.
According to the poll, conducted between December 11 and 13, 2025, Nyindam commands 50 per cent of voter support, while Wakpal trails closely with 46 per cent.
About three per cent of voters remain undecided, and one per cent say they would vote for another candidate. With a margin of error of ±3.9 per cent, Global InfoAnalytics says the race is statistically too close to call.
The poll suggests some voter movement since the 2024 general elections. While two per cent of voters who previously supported Nyindam have switched to Wakpal, an equal proportion has moved from Wakpal to Nyindam.
Notably, 28 per cent of voters who previously supported Donkor Eric Nipani are now backing Nyindam, a shift analysts say has helped sustain the NPP candidate’s narrow advantage.
Voters’ assessment of Nyindam’s performance during his short stint in Parliament was mixed.
Only three per cent rated his performance as excellent, 32 per cent described it as very good or good, 36 per cent said it was average, while 29 per cent rated it poor or very poor.
Beyond the constituency race, the poll points to generally positive public sentiment about national conditions.
Sixty-six per cent of respondents believe Ghana is headed in the right direction, compared to 26 per cent who say the country is on the wrong path, while eight per cent expressed no opinion.
On presidential performance, 64 per cent of voters approve of the president’s job performance, 27 per cent disapprove, and nine per cent have no opinion. Among floating voters, approval stands at 62 per cent.
Regarding personal economic conditions since former President John Mahama returned to office, 54 per cent of respondents said their situation has improved, 34 per cent said it has not changed, and 11 per cent said it has deteriorated.
The poll also identified key issues likely to influence voters’ decisions in the by-election. Jobs emerged as the most important concern, cited by 34 per cent of respondents, followed by the economy at 18 per cent and roads at 15 per cent.
The survey was conducted among 1,065 voters across 17 of the constituency’s 27 electoral areas using computer-assisted personal interviews. It has a confidence level of 99 per cent and a margin of error of ±3.9 per cent.
Global InfoAnalytics says a final poll ahead of the by-election will be conducted between December 25 and 28, with results expected by December 28 or 29, 2025.
Source: www.kumasimail.com
